Presidential Polls 2020 : Most Likely Democratic Presidential Nominee
Presidential Polls 2020 – Here is the list of Top 10 Most Likely People who might end getting to be the number Democratic Presidential Nominee for US Presidential Polls 2020. We update these rankings every two weeks, so if your favorite candidate isn’t on the list — or isn’t as high as you think they should be — just stay tuned. This is politics! Things change!
Presidential Polls 2020
list of Top 10 Most Likely Democratic Presidential Polls 2020
1. Joe Biden: The case for Biden being numero uno is simple. He leads in national, Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada polls. He has more endorsements than anyone else and will raise a lot of money this quarter. The big problem for Biden is time. There’s a ton of it left in the primary season. His leads in the polls (15 to 20 points usually), while not tiny, aren’t insurmountable. Next week, Biden’s going to get on the debate stage. How will he appear to viewers compared to the other candidates? Voters are apprehensive about nominating someone older than 75 years old, as Biden is. (Previous ranking: 1).
2. Elizabeth Warren: The (re)rise of Warren speaks to the marathon nature of a campaign for president. The Massachusetts senator was the first major candidate into the 2020 race last year and got off to a decidedly weak start — dogged by her failed attempts to put questions about her Native American heritage behind her. But Warren just kept rolling out policy papers, visiting early states and meeting voters. And it paid off. She is, at the moment, the candidate with the clearest momentum in the field — and that’s a good place to be. (Previous ranking: 4)
3. Bernie Sanders: The good news for the Vermont senator is that he is still in second place in most national polls. The bad news is in the trend lines. Sanders is down considerably since March. In some early state polling, he’s either barely in second place or in third place (behind Warren). The one thing Sanders definitely has going for him is that he has a core of supporters who will never leave him. The question is how large is that core? The fact that Sanders is at just 15% suggests said core may be smaller than Sanders would want. (Previous ranking: 2)
4. Kamala Harris: The California senator got the debate draw she wanted — on stage on the second night with most of the candidates in front of her or running beside her in the race. That should make it easy for voters to make comparisons, and the Harris people have to like the dynamic of an African American woman debating three white men (Buttigieg, Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden) who she is competing against for the nomination. (Previous ranking: 3)
5. Pete Buttigieg: The mayor of South Bend, Indiana, received some of the best news of his campaign since our last rankings. He earned 14% among likely Democratic Iowa caucusgoers the CNN/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll. That was good enough for basically a three-way tie for second with Sanders and Warren. Additionally, Buttigieg looks like he’s going to raise a ton of money this quarter, which will fuel his campaign and perceptions of it. The issue for him continues to be an inability to win nonwhite voters. He took 0% of them in a recent Quinnipiac University Florida poll of Democratic voters. (Previous ranking: 5).